NFL Week 11 picks, odds

Sports betting writer Dylan Svoboda joins The Post’s NFL Bettor’s Guide for his first season. 

Bengals (+1.5) over CHARGERS

Joe Burrow has hit his stride.

The Bengals quarterback finally looks healthy and the numbers are showing it, throwing for at least four touchdowns and averaging 339.5 passing yards over the past two games.

Cincinnati is 4-3 since losing its first three games of the season, but that stretch includes two one-score losses against the powerhouse Ravens. 

Jim Harbaugh’s Chargers have been a nice story through 10 weeks, but their 6-3 record is masked by a soft schedule.

They’ve lost all three of their games against teams with winning records (Chiefs, Cardinals and Steelers).

All six of their wins have come against teams at .500 or below.

The Bengals fall into the latter group, but there’s little doubt a win over Cincy would no doubt qualify as their best of the year.

I’m not counting on it. 


Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) throws a pass against the Baltimore Ravens in the second half at Paycor Stadium.
Joe Burrow throws a pass during the Bengals’ loss to the Ravens earlier in the season. Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

49ERS (-6.5) over Seahawks

Jake Moody can’t be that bad again, can he?

The 49ers kicker missed three crucial field goals before hitting the game-winner against the Buccaneers on Sunday, making what should have been a comfortable win a close one.

If recent success is any indication, they’ll have a much easier time this Sunday at home. 


Betting on the NFL?


San Francisco has dominated Seattle over the past three seasons, winning their six matchups by at least eight points, including a 41-23 drubbing during the wild-card round in 2023.

On their home field, the games haven’t even been close, winning each by multiple scores.

The Seahawks are coming off a bye, but they were headed the wrong way before then. Look for the 49ers to take care of business. 

Last week: 0-2 Falcons (L) Rams-Dolphins Over (L)
Season: 1-3.


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

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